|Dew Point:||61.5°F (16.4°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||30.45" (1030.9 mb)|
Mostly ClearLow: 56
Patchy Fog then SunnyHigh: 73 Low: 56
Mostly SunnyHigh: 75 Low: 58
Mostly SunnyHigh: 73 Low: 56
Mostly SunnyHigh: 74 Low: 59
Mostly clear, with a low around 56. South southwest wind around 5 mph.
Patchy fog before 8am. Sunny, with a high near 73. West southwest wind around 6 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 56. Southwest wind around 6 mph.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. West northwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Northwest wind around 7 mph.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 73.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59.
... Dry high pressure will persist over the region through the weekend, with temperatures gradually warming. A weak cold front will cross the area from the northwest early next week, but with limited shower chances. Dry and warm high pressure will return for the rest of next week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 1pm EDT Saturday: Weather pattern changes marginally over the next 36 hours, with upper ridge slightly further east as upstream trough approaches, and surface high also edging slightly eastward with no gain in pressure gradient over the area. Winds will remain weak with a southerly to southwesterly bias, and skies will remain mostly clear, with cumulus over the mountains, as dynamical features remain away from the area for the near term, and moisture remains subdued. There is a slight chance some of the mountain cumulus could develop into a light shower this afternoon. Valley fog in the mountains that has been occurring in the morning seems likely to repeat in the same places again today/Sunday morning. High and low temperatures will also be similar to recent history, with perhaps a degree or two of warming on Sunday.
SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 115 PM EDT Saturday: The short term period begins Sunday night with a strong upper ridge over the southeast and a weak frontal boundary moving across the eastern CONUS. The ridge will flatten somewhat on Monday, but expect downslope flow will keep max temps well above average. The approaching front may look promising, but alas, the lack of any deep moisture return and generally weak forcing will prevent any much-needed rainfall across the area. Only the NC/TN line will feature slight chance pops Monday night as the front nears the area, and even then only a few showers are anticipated in the best case scenario. Surface high pressure will move into the area on Tuesday, and drying will be the only noticeable airmass change with max temps anticipated to stay at least a category above normal.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 200 PM EDT Saturday: The upper ridge over the southeast will remain flat for Wednesday and Thursday as another weak front approaches the area from the west. Guidance disagrees on the potential for any shower activity making it outside the mountain zones, but climo and the mass of relatively dry air that will be in place over the forecast area through the middle of this week both suggest only the mountains will again see showers at best Thursday evening.
Upper level ridging will build back with a vengeance at the end of the work week and into next weekend, and though an upper low will likely cross the northeastern CONUS late in the weekend, all we'll be able to do with it in our forecast area is wave as it rides by too far north to bring us any rainfall. Temperatures will run close to 10 degrees above normal in the whole extended period, and hot and dry conditions are expected to persist even past the current medium range.