|Dew Point:||45.4°F (7.4°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||29.79" (1008.7 mb)|
Showers And ThunderstormsHigh: 51 Low: 35
Chance Rain And Snow ShowersHigh: 38 Low: 35
Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly SunnyHigh: 47 Low: 35
Mostly SunnyHigh: 61 Low: 44
Mostly SunnyHigh: 62 Low: 49
A chance of rain showers between 8am and 10am, then showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 5pm. Cloudy. High near 51, with temperatures falling to around 44 in the afternoon. Southwest wind 12 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Rain showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind 20 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 38. West wind 22 to 26 mph, with gusts as high as 43 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
A chance of rain showers before midnight, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. West wind 17 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 37 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
A slight chance of rain showers before 7am. Partly sunny, with a high near 47. Northwest wind 13 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Mostly clear, with a low around 35.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.
Mostly clear, with a low around 44.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 62.
... A strong cold front will bring rain to the area through midday. Much colder air will overspread the region behind the front, keeping temperatures below normal through Friday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... A well supported cold front will cross the region this morning. Most of the rainfall will be situated rather closely with the surface boundary, meaning the bulk of the rain shield will cross the area quickly, exiting to the east by early afternoon. The combination of a strong upper level jet and impressive low-level convergence will increase rainfall rates, particularly over the eastern half of the area, during the post dawn morning hours. A stroke of lightning or rumble of thunder is possible as model soundings are showing elevated instability.
Surface boundary will pick up forward speed later this morning as a strong shortwave trough digs into eastern Ohio. This push will place the front just east of the FA by 18z. A slot of drier air will briefly overspread the region following FROPA, so a temporary reduction in cloud cover is possible during the late morning and early afternoon hours.
Strong cold air advection will ensue behind the boundary, resulting in falling temperatures this afternoon.
Low mixing heights and moderate pressure rises will allow the stronger winds aloft to filter down to the surface, thus increasing wind gusts. It appears the strongest winds will be in the higher elevations.
The previously mentioned cloud reduction will be short lived, as a large stratocu deck will cover the entire region by late in the day.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/... The main trough axis will swing a secondary front through the region this evening. The forcing with the boundary, and atmospheric destabilization from the cold air aloft, will promote the creation of scattered showers in the front's wake. The risk for showers will continue overnight as another shortwave trough dives southward in the northwest flow aloft.
Strong wind gusts will continue overnight and through Thursday morning. An impressive mid-level jet will dive southeastward on the back side of the eastward moving trough. Most of the winds will not mix down to the surface, but in the highest ridges of WV winds won't need to mix down very far to reach the surface. Have issued a wind advisory tonight into early Thursday afternoon for Eastern Tucker county. Garrett county may need an advisory as well, and this can be determined as new model data arrives.
Thursday will feel like late fall with clouds, below normal temperatures, and scattered rain showers.
Models are indicating that snow showers are possible over the ridge tops Thursday. Forecast thicknesses and soundings are not showing an optimal setup for snow creation. Low-level thicknesses are a bit too warm and the soundings show a saturated layer well below the snow growth zone. No ice will be falling into the saturated layer, as the air above 5000ft will be dry, which will further make dendrite creation difficult. As strong orographic lift continues into Thursday afternoon, saturation heights may increase just enough to support some snow, but even the top of the cloud layer remains warmer then -7c. A forecast of rain or snow looks good for the ridge tops.
Very little change in the pattern until Friday afternoon, when the cold pool aloft finally modifies and begins to drift eastward.
Shower coverage will decrease Thursday night as inversion levels lower.
Have held onto clouds a bit longer on Friday as warmer air to the west will be held at bay until the mid-level ridge gets here.
This additional cloud cover will also support lower highs on Friday.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... A building ridge will lead to dry weather through the weekend, along with a warming trend. High temperatures will again reach the mid to upper 60s Saturday and Sunday.
The models are indicating that yet another dynamically-strong system will develop over the Plains on Sunday/Sunday night and lift across the western Great Lakes through Tuesday. Details are still in dispute this far out, although increasing rain chances are certainly indicated for early next week.