|Dew Point:||31°F (0°C)|
|Wind Chill:||NA°F (NA°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||30.31 in (1026 mb)|
Mostly ClearLow: 43
SunnyHigh: 67 Low: 42
SunnyHigh: 70 Low: 46
Mostly SunnyHigh: 69 Low: 48
Mostly SunnyHigh: 69 Low: 52
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 67. West wind 2 to 7 mph.
Clear, with a low around 42. West northwest wind around 7 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 70. West northwest wind around 5 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 46. Northeast wind around 3 mph.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Mostly sunny, with a high near 69.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.
... High pressure will remain over the area through the weekend. A deepening upper-level trough and cold front will approach the region from the west early next week. Rain is not expected before early next week while temperatures will trend a bit warmer into the weekend.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 940 AM EDT Wednesday...
Frost advisory has expired and valley fog west of the Blue Ridge will continue to burn off this morning, leaving us with another fine fall day for this afternoon. Full sun and dry conditions will allow for another day with wide diurnal temperature variation on the order of 40 degrees at some locations. Highs today a few ticks warmer than readings yesterday.
Dry, high pressure will remain over the area through the period. The center of the large high pressure area will drift slightly eastward through the period and will be aligned near the Blue Ridge by Thursday morning. Other than a few passing cirrus from time-to-time, expect mostly clear skies. Starting out this morning a few degrees warmer than Tuesday morning and 850mb temps will warm into the +10C to +12C range by late today. This should allow maximum temperatures to be on the order of 5-6 degrees warmer than they were Tuesday. By the same token morning low temperatures Thursday will also be a few degrees warmer as well. Burkes Garden and Lewisburg should be among the few spots able to make it to or below the freezing mark Thursday morning. Frost should be less widespread as well and generally only patchy frost is indicated in the grids at this time with no headline.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...
High pressure will be centered over the Mid-Atlantic region through Friday. There is a weak dry front that will pass north of the area Thursday, but hardly worth mentioning aside from a subtle wind shift. The dominant feature will continue to be the dome of high pressure and its persistence, with strong subsidence and dry air resulting in large nocturnal/diurnal temperature swings. High temperatures will favor the warmer side of normal by +4 to +8 degrees, with highs in the 70s. Lows will be close to the seasonal norm with readings in the lower to mid 40s.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 330 AM EDT Wednesday...
Amplified upper ridge over the Southeast will continue dry and warm weather heading into the weekend. Saturday night into Sunday, the ridge axis begins to move east as the trough deepens into the middle of the country. The trough axis will move into the Ohio Valley Monday and rotate eastward into Tuesday. The trough axis should be located along the coast by Wednesday. The GFS and ECMWF continue to disagree on the depth and strength of trough and where to close off a southern low. Despite the fact that the location is different, both solutions show a low closing off, upper flow turning more southwest, and an influx of moisture. This should result in an increasing chance of showers early next week.
Temperatures staying above normal through Sunday, then a cooling trend expected Monday into Wednesday.