|Dew Point:||41.0°F (5.0°C)|
|Wind:||From the SE at 8.0 MPH Gusting to 14.0 MPH|
|Wind Chill:||39°F (4°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||30.18" (1021.9 mb)|
Hi 49 °F
Hi 53 °F
Hi 63 °F
Hi 74 °F
Hi 72 °F
Showers. High near 49. East wind around 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
Showers. Low around 44. East wind around 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Showers likely, mainly before 8am. Cloudy, with a high near 53. East wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind around 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
A chance of showers, mainly before 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. East wind around 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Sunny, with a high near 74.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.
A chance of showers between 2pm and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
000 FXUS61 KRLX 231901 AFDRLX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Charleston WV 301 PM EDT Sun Apr 23 2017
SYNOPSIS... Upper level low passes to our south tonight and then swings east to the Carolina coastal states Monday, keeping rain mainly in the south and east through Monday. Warmer midweek before a cold front crosses Thursday night.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 200 PM Sunday...
While there are typical model differences in the exact handling of the broad upper low currently over the western Tennessee valley this period, all are indicating SIMILAR main effects for our area. The associated rain shield just over our southern most zones early this afternoon will struggle to shift northward this afternoon and evening. As the upper low slides south southeast into the southeastern states tonight, the rain shield will tend to shift slowly eastward and spread up the WV mountains. This process will continue Monday as the upper low then reaches the Southeast coast. By Monday afternoon, most of the rain will have shifted into the mountains. Thus, will keep the northwest half basically dry and the southeast quite wet, with a tight POP gradient in between. In addition, the good influx of moisture and steady but persistent rain over the southern mountains will validate continuing the Flood Watch as is, with flood warnings already in effect for SW VA. The watch may very well have to be extended and expanded up the mountains later tonight and Monday, but there is enough uncertainty in the exact track of the upper low and the axis of heavy rain for further evaluation. Otherwise, look for coolest temps tonight and warmest temps Monday over northwest portions of the area given less thick clouds and lack of rain.
SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 245 PM Sunday...
Influences from the cut off upper low over the Southeast will continue through Tuesday as an inverted trough remains over the area. Precipitation chances will largely be confined to the eastern half of the CWA, while the low and mid level moisture starts to dissolve CWA wide after Tuesday. Improvements expected all around with temperatures on the increase, and the far southern zones drying out after a few days of persistent rain. Expecting a significant increase in 500mb heights heading into Wednesday, and an 850mb temperature jump of 5-8C. In the meantime, the upper trough merger over the central states will be occurring.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 245 PM Sunday...
Getting quick cyclogenesis occurring with the upper trough merger over the Midwest, and a strong frontal system deepening into the western Great Lakes. The models continue to take it towards northern Ontario, so the cold front is still expected to shear out considerably as it passes through the Ohio Valley. Still needing POPs into Thursday, with thunder, but overall it should be a weakening cold front as it affects our area.
Strong upper level ridge builds over the southeastern states while a southern plains upper low deepens, developing another surface low. Warm frontal influences keep low end chances for precipitation into the weekend, but the temperature trend continues to go upwards, with summer like readings prevailing.