|Dew Point:||63.0°F (17.2°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||30.18" (1021.9 mb)|
Scattered Rain ShowersHigh: 65 Low: 61
Showers And Thunderstorms LikelyHigh: 70 Low: 62
Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Showers And ThunderstormsHigh: 71 Low: 60
Chance Showers And ThunderstormsHigh: 68 Low: 59
Chance Rain ShowersHigh: 67 Low: 53
Scattered rain showers. Cloudy, with a high near 65. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
A chance of rain showers. Cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind around 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
A chance of rain showers before 10am, then showers and thunderstorms likely between 10am and 3pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 70. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts less than a tenth of an inch possible.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9am, then showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 71. Southwest wind around 12 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between three quarters and one inch possible.
Showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 60. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
A chance of rain showers before 10am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between 10am and 11am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 68. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
A chance of rain showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
... A warm front will lift north across the area tonight. A cold front pushes southeast midweek. High pressure with drier weather for the end of the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 246 AM Monday...
Latest radar mosaic shows a few showers were pushing northeast across the region with other showers increasing in areal coverage over Kentucky and southern Ohio.
The showers to our southwest were associated with a warm front and several mid-level shortwaves.
Latest models have been somewhat consistent with the expected weather for today and tonight. With this in mind, expect the showers will spread northeast today with likely or even categorical POPS expected across southeast Ohio and northeast Kentucky as well as much of the western and northern counties of West Virginia today.
Expect less coverage of the showers across the remainder of the area as southeast downslope winds develop this morning. In fact, much of this area could see dry conditions and some sunshine this afternoon.
Winds will become southerly by later today which will eliminate the drying associated with downslope flow. Expect POPS will then increase across our eastern counties tonight as the models continue to show mid-level shortwaves passing by in southwest flow.
Latest temperature guidance is quite similar to previous forecast and only minor tweaks made to highs today and lows tonight. However, portions of the southern coalfields could see warmer temperatures if more sunshine occurs than thought.
Not confident in the need for the current Flash Flood Watch as the area where the heaviest rain is expected today did not see much rain during the past few days. However, will leave in place for now.
SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 340 AM Monday... The unsettled weather pattern continues in the short term period. Increasing warmth, and moisture across the area to start the period, as southwesterly flow increases in response to deepening upper trough across the midwest. A cold front will approach the area on Tuesday, but hold off until Wednesday for passage. Impulses moving through the flow will continue to trigger showers and storms on Tuesday, with brief heavy downpours expected, as pw values continue to be well above normal, around 1.8 inches. Storms will move due to increasing flow, but with saturated conditions, water issues will continue to be a threat. There is also a possibility of an isolated strong to severe thunderstorm, mainly west of the Ohio River, but better chances are expected on Wednesday. A marginal risk has been issued for southeast Ohio and northeast KY zones.
Frontal boundary will move into the CWA by mid to late morning Wednesday. Increasing 0-6km shear, on the order of 40-50+kts, will result in a threat for strong to severe thunderstorms, with damaging winds the primary threat. Of course, with the antecedent wet conditions, it won't necessarily take a severe gust to result in tree damage/downed trees across the area. A slight risk has been issued for much of the northern and central zones where better dynamics will exist, with a marginal risk across southern and western zones.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 400 AM Monday...
Frontal boundary will be to the east of the area on Thursday, however, precipitation will continue to be a possibility Thursday and Friday, mainly across eastern zones. The weekend at this point looks to be dry, with more seasonable weather, with warm sunny days, and cool foggy nights.