Winter Arrives in Full Force on Sunday NC 11-21-13

A moist southeasterly, upslope flow will keep a lot of fog, clouds, and isolated light precip in play today.  Blegh.

A significant cold front moves through tomorrow night.  I say significant because an Arctic blast lies behind it.  More on that in a second.  Tomorrow will see continued clouds and it will be milder than in recent days.  Light rain begins to move in later in the day and will continue overnight.

The high temperature on Saturday will probably occur at midnight.  Temperatures will be dropping throughout the day.  Leftover showers should taper off by midday.  The surge of Arctic air arrives at night when temperatures will plummet.  Combined with the high winds and it is going to be freezing!  Light snow showers/flurries are possible at night but no accumulations are expected.

An area of arctic high pressure to our west is going to make for a bone chilling Sunday.  Even with plenty of sunshine, temps won't get above freezing for anyone.  Continued gusty winds won't help the situation either.  Monday will see continued sunshine and temperatures will warm up several degrees from Sunday, but it'll still be unseasonably cold.

Things get interesting on Tuesday.  An upper trough will combine with a surface low that will track from the Gulf Coast up through the Carolinas.  Right now, it looks like a cold rain/wintry mix for Tuesday.  As the low continues to track to the northeast, we would see wraparound snow showers on Wednesday.  Surprisingly, the models are in pretty good agreement about this event but it's still 5-6 days out, so things could change.

Thanksgiving weekend is looking to be fantastic at the ski areas.  Sugar, Beech, Cataloochee, and App should all have some quality conditions as they will have a large window of snowmaking next week in addition to possible natural snow.  Woohoo!

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