A Few More Days of Unseasonably Warm Temps Before the Remants of Karen Arrive NC 10-4-13

Unseasonably warm temperatures continue today and tomorrow as high pressure remains entrenched in the southeastern US.  High temps will be a good 6-10 degrees above normal for this time of the year and there will be plenty of sunshine to accompany them.

A cold front is slated to move through the region very early Monday.  The remnants of Tropical Storm Karen will combine with the front and track northeast along the boundary, passing through the Carolinas.  Look for increasing clouds Sunday with showers arriving in the evening.  Heavier rain arrives at night and will continue into Monday.

Right now, the QPF guidance and general consensus is that rainfall totals will be in the 1-2″ range with this system.  However, there is a lot of uncertainty with this system, both in the timing and track of the remnants of Karen.  We should definitely see precipitation, but these amounts could change should Karen decide to stay further to our south and east, or if she decides to stick around longer.

We could see some lingering showers Tuesday morning, but conditions will quickly improve as high pressure returns.  The latter half of the work week looks to be rather nice, with seasonable temps and plenty of sunshine.

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