A Soggy July 4th NC 7-3-13

The soggy conditions will continue over the next couple of days.  Unfortunately, it looks like Independence Day is going to feature widespread showers and thunderstorms, putting a damper on some festivities.  The good news is that the holiday weekend will see much improved conditions with the return of warmer temps and sunshine.

We remain sandwiched between a Bermuda high to our east and an upper trough to our west.  These two features will slowly retrograde, aka shift back to the west, over the next few days.  Up until now, the highest moisture content, and therefore heaviest rain, has been in central and eastern NC.  That's about to change though due to the realignment of the two main features.  The High Country is going to be smack dab in the middle of the tropical moisture plume today and part of tomorrow, meaning widespread showers and thunderstorms each day.  

Two to three inches of rainfall is expected over the next two days.  However, some of the embedded cells could produce heavier rain at times and cause localized flooding, hence the reason we are currently in a Flood Watch through tonight.  More than likely this will be extended into tomorrow.

The plume of tropical moisture will be to our west on Friday.  However, an upper level disturbance will move across the region and keep the precip chances going.  Shower and thunderstorm coverage won't be nearly as widespread as Wednesday and Thursday though.

Improved conditions arrive this weekend.  The Bermuda High will ridge itself further westward and put us in a more typical summer pattern, wherein each day will feature warm and generally sunny conditions with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms.  That theme looks to continue into the first part of next week.

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More Showers and Storms Later This Week NC 7-8-13
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The Unsettled Weather Pattern Continues NC 7-2-13