... Eroding high pressure will support the return of warm and humid conditions with the chance of rain beginning Wednesday through the end of the work week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Sfc high pressure centered north of the forecast area will support dry conditions today, with rising heights contributing to the return of seasonable temperature as low pressure digs over the southern high plains.
SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... Rain chances are still progged to increase late Wednesday as ern CONUS ridging erodes and srn Plains low pressure develops along the lower MS River Valley, with further warming and a humidity increase expected across wrn zones especially.
By Thursday, the aforementioned srn Plains low is progged to have trundled over the middle MS Valley, with deeper moisture flow over the Upper OH. Emerging shortwave activity interacting with that moisture supply will increase the rain chance toward categorical numbers as warmth and humidity further increase region-wide. BUFKIT suggests meager, yet available CAPE combined with sufficient shear, which may prompt thunderstorm development across sern OH and nrn panhandle of WV Thursday aftn/eve.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... The weekend will be largely unsettled as an upper trough settles over the eastern CONUS and supports periodic convection and seasonably warm temperature.