Canaan Valley Resort

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Davis, WV

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Canaan Valley Resort
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Forecast Discussion

Summary

SYNOPSIS

... A few isolated showers and thunderstorms continue early this morning before better chances return late morning and afternoon. Continued thunderstorms will be possible through early next week until frontal passage.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... A few pockets of showers and thunderstorms have fired over central portions of the region these last few hours. Despite more than sufficient shear profiles and lingering instability, better storm development continues to be hampered by mid-level capping. While isolated deeper convection may produce gusty winds and small hail, severe potential for the overnight is effectively non-existent.

Remaining showers and thunderstorms should exit our area to the east within the next several hours. Overnight conditions will be warm and muggy.

SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Showers and thunderstorms are likely again Saturday as the slow- moving sfc cold front crossed the Upper Ohio Valley region. Deep- layer shear should continue to support severe thunderstorm potential, though to a lesser extent than is expected tonight.

Showers and thunderstorms should diminish Saturday night as the front continues swd and instability wanes, though a few showers/storms are still possible Sunday mainly S of PIT with that area in close proximity to the sfc front.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Shower and thunderstorm chances continue Monday and Tuesday as a trough approaches from the Midwest, and crosses the region. Dry weather is expected to return by midweek as sfc high pressure builds across the region. Warmer than average temperatures should return to near or below seasonable levels after the passage of the early week trough.

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