Canaan Valley Resort

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Davis, WV

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Canaan Valley Resort
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Forecast Discussion

Summary

SYNOPSIS

... Quick-moving low pressure will bring 2 to 4 inches of snow to the area today. A second system will bring another round of light snow to the area Monday afternoon into Tuesday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... A progressive shortwave coincident with vorticity advection, broad jet ascent and brief frontogenesis will provide the support snow showers later this morning and afternoon. Snow will gradually enter the area from the West, with little dry air to overcome. Radar and satellite indicate this is already occurring.

Cold advection aloft, with aforementioned brief frontogenesis will provide a period of convective snow, which will contribute to enhancement of snowfall. Light snow is generally expected, with periods of heavier snow likely and when snow retreats to the east this evening, a total of 2-4 inches is expected for the area.

With fresh snow on the ground and renewed cold advection, temperatures will drop into the single digits to lower teens across the area tonight.

SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Briefly dry weather with zonal flow returns on Monday as temperatures moderate to above-freezing south of I-80. Then, a second clipper system will bring a another round of light snowfall to the area Monday afternoon/night. Lake enhanced snowfall will linger into Tuesday with persistent NW flow behind the cold front. At this time, totals generally range from 1-3 inches, with greatest totals north of PIT and along the higher terrain. Lake-enhanced snow showers may linger into the Tuesday overnight north of I-80, but most additional accumulation should remain north of the forecast area.

Temperatures will fall through the afternoon on Tuesday with strong post-frontal cold advection. Tuesday night will see lows back in the single digits areawide.

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Building sfc high pressure and reinforced NE CONUS troughing will keep mainly dry and well below-normal temperature weather in the forecast for the second half of the work week. Low temperatures Wednesday night may come close or rival those of yesterday (Saturday) morning for coldest of the season. The next chance for snow will come Friday with a crossing wave. Drier weather returns for the weekend.

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