|Dew Point:||35.8°F (2.1°C)|
|Wind:||From the West at 3.0 MPH Gusting to 3.0 MPH|
|Sea Level Pressure:||26.14" (885.1 mb)|
Mostly CloudyLow: 35
SunnyHigh: 51 Low: 31
SunnyHigh: 51 Low: 32
Partly SunnyHigh: 50 Low: 37
Light RainHigh: 49 Low: 39
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Northwest wind around 7 mph.
Sunny. High near 51, with temperatures falling to around 45 in the afternoon. Northwest wind around 8 mph.
Mostly clear, with a low around 31. Northwest wind 3 to 7 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 51. West wind around 3 mph.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 32. South southwest wind around 5 mph.
Partly sunny, with a high near 50.
Rain likely after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Rain. Cloudy, with a high near 49. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Rain. Cloudy, with a low around 39. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
... Drier air associated with broad high pressure will spread over the region today and tomorrow and linger through midweek. Another low pressure system is then expected to develop to our west and bring widespread precipitation to the region for Thursday and Friday.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... As of 925 PM EST: NW flow continuing across the forecast area behind the departing low pressure system. Low clouds have cleared outside of the mountains, but cirrus will move over from the west. Across the mountains, low clouds linger through the evening before slowly dissipating toward daybreak. Any lingering patchy light rain and drizzle will end this evening. Overnight low temperatures are expected to dip into the 30s, remaining in the mid to upper 30s across the NW Piedmont and Upstate. With residual saturated soils, could not rule out patchy areas of fog towards morning.
Though lingering weak troughing looks to remain over the area on Monday as upper ridge continues to build over the central US, conditions are expected to remain dry and quiet with plenty of sunshine, maybe some passing thin cirrus. Temperatures along and south of the I-85 corridor will warm into the low 60s, back into the upper 50s towards the escarpment, and slightly cooler across the mountains.
SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 140 PM EST Sunday: Quiet weather persists in to the short term with weakening broad northwesterly flow aloft Tuesday transitioning southwesterly well in advance of the late weeks system which will begin organizing across the Southern Plains by Wednesday. Can't rule out some patchy fog under mostly clear skies Tuesday morning. Otherwise, expect increasing mid to high level clouds as early as Tuesday night, but more likely Wednesday. Seasonal temperatures are expected through the period.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... As of 315 PM EST Sunday: Model guidance is gradually coming into better agreement with the storm system for late in the work week. A strong 150+ mph jet streak is expected to dive down into the west side of the trough over the southern plains Thursday as is continues its trek towards the deep south. Increasing upper level divergence aloft on the cyclonic side (east side) of the trough will fuel fairly rapid intensification of the surface reflection of the cyclone as it moves roughly along or just west of the Appalachians into the eastern Great Lakes Thursday into Friday, before pressing further into southeast Canada. The net result will be increasing and lowering clouds across the forecast area early in the day on Thursday before increasing south to southeasterly flow over weak insitu damming brings increasing rain chances from south to north Thursday afternoon and evening and continuing overnight. The latest guidance indicates that a developing warm sector may push into the region Thursday evening or night, scouring out any remaining insitu damming. There are even signs that some thunderstorms may be severe (low CAPE, high shear). However, this potential will be highly dependent on the eventual track of the sfc low and erosion of any in- situ damming in place. As a result of the uncertainty this far out, have limited thunderstorms just before mentionable levels for now to match surrounding offices. Developing northwest flow (gusty across the mtns) on the back side of the system will likely bring continued shower activity focused across the NC mountains near the TN border Friday. Much uncertainty remains for this portion of the forecast, although accumulating snowfall is possible, especially across higher elevations. Things will dry out over the weekend with a return to mostly sunny skies. Near to below normal temperatures are expected Thursday through Saturday, possibly moderating to above normal, especially east of the mountains Sunday as cold air advection relaxes under mostly sunny skies.