Massanutten Resort / Harrisonburg

Harrisonburg, VA

Currently

Temperature 57°F
Feels Like 56.1°F
Humidity 97%
Pressure 1015mb
Wind 0mph from the N
Overcast clouds 57°F Overcast clouds
Overnight Patchy Fog
Low: 68°F
Sunday Patchy Fog then Mostly Cloudy
High: 68°F Low: 55°F
Monday Areas Of Fog then Mostly Sunny
High: 72°F Low: 56°F
Tuesday Sunny
High: 77°F Low: 60°F
Wednesday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
High: 80°F Low: 64°F
Summary

SYNOPSIS

... Low pressure will drift off the Carolina Coast through Sunday. High pressure will build overhead Monday into Tuesday. A cold front will approach from the Midwest Wednesday, then cross by Friday.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/... A longwave trough axis is positively tilted from New England to the Tennessee Valley. Primary stationary front is located across North Carolina, but a secondary wind shift appears to be located across Pennsylvania. A shortwave trough is departing to the east, taking earlier rain with it. Most of the night should largely be dry, but a few showers could develop late tonight as the convergence axis drop south into the area. Most guidance indicates the isolated shower chance along the I-95 corridor.

Breaks in the clouds have been occurring in the Potomac Highlands, and this may continue into the night, possibly including the Shenandoah Valley. This area will have the greatest chance of fog development. Low clouds will remain in place across much of the rest of the area. Low temperatures will be in the 50s to near 60.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... Sunday starts off with cloud cover over most of the area, with possible breaks along our western periphery similar to today. Shower activity on Sunday appears to be less than previously forecast since the system responsible has made a swift exit and high pressure builds in from the north, but a few showers and isolated thunderstorms can't be ruled out in the afternoon quite yet, primarily west of the Blue Ridge. Cloud cover will decrease through the day and high temperatures are expected to reach into the 70s for much of the area. Low temperatures will be in the 50s. With available moisture from recent rainfall and high pressure moving in, some fog could develop late Sunday night into Monday morning.

Monday begins our reprieve from unsettled conditions with dry weather and sunny skies in the forecast. High temperatures rise to the mid-upper 70s, starting a warming trend as well.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A broad upper level ridge is forecast to be remain in place over the eastern seaboard on Tuesday with high pressure at the surface. A southerly return flow will lead to increasingly warming temperatures through the middle parts of next week. The SFC high pressure on Tuesday will keep the region dry, but an approaching cold front from the west will bring increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Friday. Model guidance has trended slower with the mid-week system and there remains some uncertainty if there will be enough instability (CAPE) that overlaps with the favorable period for shear to produce a threat for severe weather. SPC is focusing on the Ohio Valley for SVR weather Wednesday into Thursday, but the CIPS machine learning model continues to suggest that there is a chance for isolated severe weather in our region during the middle and later parts of next week.

Massanutten Base Cam
Massanutten Tubing Cam