Cataloochee Ski Area

Maggie Valley, NC

Currently

Temperature 56.88°F
Feels Like 56.21°F
Humidity 84%
Pressure 1016mb
Wind 1.01mph from the W
Clear sky 57°F Clear sky
Overnight Mostly Clear
Low: 76°F
Saturday Sunny then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
High: 76°F Low: 60°F
Sunday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
High: 75°F Low: 61°F
Monday Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
High: 75°F Low: 58°F
Tuesday Partly Sunny
High: 75°F Low: 57°F
Summary

SYNOPSIS

... A hot upper ridge will build into the region through the weekend. The ridge will linger over the Eastern Seaboard through much of next week keeping temperatures above normal. Isolated diurnal ridgetop showers and thunderstorms will be possible each day through Monday. Drier conditions are expected to return Tuesday into Friday.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 3:05 AM Saturday: Little change since the last update with mostly clear skies and light to calm winds. Still expect temperatures to bottom-out in the mid 60s to low 70s outside of the mtns and 60s over most of the higher terrain.

Otherwise, broad upper ridging will continue to spread further east and over our area thru the period. By the end of the period early Sunday, the ridge axis will be centered just to our west with the ridge dominating much of the CONUS. At the sfc, broad Canadian high pressure will continue to slide SE and over the Great Lakes today. By the end of the period, the high will be centered just west of New England with low-lvl flow going from NELY to more ELY over our area. This could initiate some upslope showers and a few thunderstorms across the escarpment by mid-aftn today, but overall the atmosphere will remain fairly suppressed with another day of weak mid and upper-lvl lapse rates. The NELY wind component will help to moderate temperatures somewhat, but with the upper ridge building, highs will still top out about a category above normal for mid-June.

SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/... As of 200 AM EDT Saturday: An upper level anticyclone will build over the Carolinas Sunday, continuing to strengthen and drift toward the northeast Monday. This ridging will help keep mid-level lapse rates pretty weak and result in a generally suppressive environment for convection. With that said, E/SELY flow around the associated sfc high will bring some Atlantic moisture into the forecast area, and will result in 1500 J/kg (with pockets of up to 2000 J/kg of sbCAPE Sunday aftn. The flow will also have a little upslope to help trigger some convection. Will keep 20-45% PoPs. Severe threat will remain low, thanks to weak shear and modest CAPE. Monday is trending a little drier, as ridging weakens lapse rates further and a pocket of lower PWATs rotate in around the anticyclone atop the forecast area. The NBM still has rather robust PoPs considering the pattern, so have undercut that and confine PoPs mainly to the mountains. Again, severe threat will be low. The E/SELY flow will support potential stratus/stratocu development overnight both Saturday night and Sunday night, and these clouds should scatter out by early aftn, but may help keep max temps down a tad. Still, above normal lows and near to slightly above normal highs expected thru the period.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... As of 215 AM EDT Saturday: A large upper level anticyclone will set up across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, with an inverted ridge axis extending SW into the Gulf of Mexico Tuesday and Wednesday. This setup will likely keep the forecast area capped from deep convection both days. Temps will continue to be slightly above normal.

An inverted upper trough will develop east of FL and drift westward and strengthen as it enters the eastern Gulf. This may weaken the ridge atop the forecast area enough to allow a return of some isolated mountaintop convection Thursday and Friday. But overall, dry wx is expected to continue with temps remaining above normal. The easterly flow off the Atlantic will have some moderating effect on the heat and humidity across the region, with the more oppressive heat expected to be north of the area.

Base Cam
Summit Cam
Hemphill Cam