The Wedge Continues Today, Trouble Ahead NC 9-18-13

The cool air wedge continues today.  Conditions will be very similar to yesterday as cool, cloudy conditions will persist.  Luckily, we're not looking at anything in the way of precip for today, just grey skies.

The area of high pressure in the Northeast that's been creating the wedge setup will begin to shift eastward tomorrow.  We'll still see an abundance of clouds but temperatures will be a good 5-8 degrees warmer than today.  We'll also see a slightly better chance for some afternoon sprinkles, nothing major though.

Friday sees temperatures warm up several more degrees and we'll also see the return of sunshine, albeit only in intervals.  Daytime heating and increased humidity will lead to a better chance of seeing some scattered afternoon storms though.

Saturday begins a period of a few days in which it is becoming more and more likely that we will see heavy rain.  Starting off, a cold front will move through the region later in the day on Saturday and then move off slowly to the south.  An area of low pressure develops along the front and tracks across the Carolinas through Monday.  Model trends have been bringing this low further north which is problematic for us.  If that pans out, showers and storms develop in the early afternoon on Saturday.  Showers and cooler temperatures then persist for Sunday and Monday.  I won't throw out a precip total just yet, but right now it looks like a couple inches is easily feasible with this scenario.

We should begin to dry out some on Tuesday as the low moves off the Virginia coast.

Next Post
The Models Have Flipped
Previous Post
Lots of Clouds this Week NC 9-16-13